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Wednesday, 10 August 2016
Can tech really solve SIDS? It's not so simple
Can tech really solve SIDS? It's not so simple
How flawed data and a sensitive subject might be leading us to the wrong conclusions about wearable baby monitors
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When wearable baby monitors burst onto the scene in 2014, few predicted how successful they'd become. Since then, devices like Snuza, MonBaby, Owlet and Mimo
have become common baby shower gifts and early parent purchases, with
hundreds of thousands of units collectively sold in the US and around
the world, according to their developers.
Their proliferation
makes sense: Sudden Infant Death Syndrome, or SIDS, and other health
crises like it are the nightmares of countless new parents. The
$120-$250 price tags on monitors seem reasonable, if the gadgets will
avert such disasters.
But many in the media and medical community remain dubious. One 2014 British Medical Journal article proclaimed,
"No evidence shows that [wearable baby monitors] reduce the risk of
SIDS or have any other health benefits." Developers sidestepped such
critiques, claiming their devices offer parents "reassurance."
As a new dad and baby-tech reviewer, I decided to do my own research. I
quickly discovered the wearable baby monitor market contains a series of
contradictions that converge in one basic truth: No one can say whether
wearable baby monitors are worthwhile, because no one can prove that
they help or that they don't.
The first contradiction: Monitors work...and don't
The efficacy of wearable baby monitors depends on two questions.
First, will the monitor accurately track what it claims to track?
Second, will such tracking improve health outcomes for children?
I've personally tested the first question
with MonBaby, Owlet and Snuza, at least anecdotally verifying their
ability to track a child's breathing accurately. Problem is, no one's
been able to answer the second question. Does monitoring make any
difference when it comes to SIDS or other medical crises?
There's a reason multiple monitors say they can't "detect or prevent causes" of SIDS or other conditions in their disclaimers.
"The US is extremely litigious," explained a Snuza representative. "We need to tread carefully." Snuza
Hero SE uses a contact sensor in its rubber tip to track the breathing
movements of the baby. If the movements stop for fifteen seconds, the
monitor vibrates to rouse the child. After twenty seconds, a loud alarm
sounds.
Chris Monroe/CNET
To be labeled a medical device in the United States requires
certification through the US Food and Drug Administration. While that
process happens mostly behind closed doors, the government entity
considers "how the product is labeled, promoted or used," a
representative at the FDA explained.
That means monitors can't
hide behind veiled language about "keeping baby safe." So far, no baby
monitor has earned the certification necessary to be considered a
medical device. In order to gain that, they have to demonstrate some
"intended...use in the diagnosis of a disease or condition, ... [or] in
the cure, mitigation, treatment, or prevention of disease," according to
the FDA.
Essentially, there's a gap between the claim that monitoring works, and that it helps. Owlet
uses pulse oximetry to measure oxygen levels in the bloodstream. While
it is more expensive than many competitors, the technology at its
foundation makes it more likely to successfully seek FDA certification.
The second contradiction: The research exists...and doesn't
Remember that 2014 BMJ article? It references three clinical studies to show monitors make no impact on SIDS rates in children. They are dated from 1986, 1988 and 2001.
The American Academy for Pediatrics
references these same three studies when it makes this rather strong
recommendation: "Do not use home cardiorespiratory monitors as a
strategy to reduce the risk of SIDS."
There are multiple problems
with the referenced data, though, not least of which is its age. The
first two studies took place about three decades ago. They even included
instances of children dying due to misuse of those early
monitors, said Michael Goodstein, a member of the AAP Section on
Neonatal-Perinatal Medicine and a professor at Penn State University.
That's practically unthinkable with today's monitors. MonBaby
functions both as a breathing monitor, and as a position monitor. If a
child flips onto their belly while sleeping (a risk factor for SIDS),
the monitor will alert parents.Additionally, the most recent research hasn't examined enough instances
of SIDS to offer statistically significant insight into whether or not
monitors affect its outcome. The 2001 study
referenced both by the AAP and the BMJ included over 1000 participants,
but witnessed the death of only six children. This past data should
leave us with, at worst, an agnostic view of devices today. Developers of wearable baby monitors have even less compelling evidence to convince us of their efficacy. They rely on parent testimony.
Early in Owlet's product life, founder Jordan Monroe posted the story
of three children whose parents had been alerted to low oxygen levels.
"Two of the children were turning blue when their mothers picked them up
and stimulated them to start breathing again." Publications
reporting on Monroe's blog post failed to acknowledge the major
shortcomings of anecdotal evidence of this sort. In short, there's no
way to know if the children would've recovered independently (as often
happened in the 2001 study).
The
inability of developers to overturn the medical community's agnostic
stance toward monitors raises important questions about consumers'
readiness to adopt unproven technology. But research on both sides also
suggests something more fundamental: that SIDS itself is exceptionally
difficult to understand. SIDS,
as a diagnosis of exclusion, is very different from other medical
diagnoses. There aren't clear causes or fool-proof methods of prevention
-- only broad trends and best practices.
The third contradiction: We understand SIDS...and don't
"Sudden infant death syndrome (SIDS)," according to the Mayo Clinic, "Is the unexplained death, usually during sleep, of a seemingly healthy baby less than a year old."
Seems like a simple definition, right? Not when you look closely. SIDS is what's called a diagnosis of exclusion,
meaning it is a diagnosis applied only after every other potential
explanation has been ruled out. That makes it impossible to prescribe
treatment or attribute cause.
The medical community has discovered many large-scale trends
around SIDS. Children are more likely to die from SIDS if they sleep on
their bellies, live in a home with a smoker, co-sleep in the same bed
with parents or siblings, or are premature. The list goes on. Educating the public about such trends has dropped SIDS rates to an historic low of about 1 death per 2000 live births, where it has remained relatively consistent for the last fifteen years.
As the rates dropped, SIDS grew more difficult and more expensive to
study. To get numbers of any real statistical value, researchers would
have to include tens of thousands of participants, and record enough
instances of SIDS to compare monitored outcomes with non-monitored
outcomes.
Wearable monitor companies appear to be in a bind. The
"no empirical evidence" criticism is still valid, but companies have no
real recourse. Practices
like laying children on their backs and not using blankets have led to
lower instances of sudden unexpected infant death in the past twenty
years.
The fourth contradiction: People trust monitors...and don't
George Little, doctor and chairman of the 1986 National Institutes of Health consensus board, spearheaded a review of the research regarding monitors in the 1980s. Interviewed in the book "The Death of Innocents: A True Story of Murder, Medicine, and High-Stakes Science," Little saw fundamental divides in the national conversation.
"You're dealing with an entity where kids die," he said to authors
Richard Firstman and Jamie Talan. "Now, when you die, you stop breathing
and your heart stops. So there's an intuitive thing that says, well, if
you have a gizmo that tells you how fast you're breathing, or how fast
your heart is going, then maybe you can prevent death."
Although
Little concluded that the data from those early monitors couldn't
confirm that intuition, he did discover something else: "There is a huge
industry here...that has been entrepreneurial as hell. They're getting
your attention...[telling you] there must be a black box that can tell us when a baby's going to die."
Little touched on something important: every party is deeply invested.
Parents want to keep their children safe. Companies want to profit.
Medical professionals, in the face of ambiguous data, adopt a "do no
harm" policy. At the end of the day, many parents disregard the data and
disclaimers because they want the monitors to help.
All
of this leaves us in a difficult position. The lack of empirical
evidence leads journalists and doctors to doubt these devices, but that
hasn't stopped parents from buying them or companies from selling them.
Uncomfortable as it may be, this situation is unlikely to change anytime soon.
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